December 31, 2025

Coding “Possible” Diagnoses: Inpatient vs Outpatient Rules Explained

Terms such as possible, probable, suspected, and likely frequently appear in patient records and are a top source of coding errors. Understanding when these diagnoses may be coded and when a query is required is critical for both inpatient and outpatient facility coding.


Inpatient Coding Rules for Possible, Probable, and Suspected Diagnoses


For inpatient admissions:

  • A diagnosis documented as possible, probable, suspected, or likely may be coded only if it remains documented as such at the time of discharge.
  • “At the time of discharge” refers to the provider’s final assessment, typically reflected in the discharge summary (DS) or final discharge note.
  • If the DS does not mention the possible diagnosis, even if a final progress note lists it, it cannot be coded.
  • Coders may query if documentation is ambiguous between progress notes and DS.


Key principle: The discharge summary represents the provider’s final assessment and controls coding.


Outpatient and Observation Coding Rules for Uncertain Diagnoses


For outpatient or observation encounters:

  • Uncertain diagnoses may never be coded.
  • Only confirmed diagnoses documented by the provider during the encounter can be assigned an ICD-10-CM code.
  • Documentation of “possible,” “suspected,” or “probable” diagnoses should instead be coded as signs, symptoms, or abnormal findings (e.g., cough, fever, abdominal pain).


Bottom line: OP coding is stricter than IP and possible or suspected diagnoses are never coded, even if persistent at the end of the encounter.


When Coders Should Initiate a Query


A query should be initiated when:

  • Early documentation lists a possible diagnosis
  • Later documentation is conflicting or unclear
  • The discharge summary omits the diagnosis entirely


Note: Coders should not assume persistence of a diagnosis across the stay.


Coding Example: Conflicting Documentation at Discharge


IP Example:

  • Day 1 Progress Note (IP): "Possible pneumonia: chest X-ray pending.”
  • Final Progress Note (IP): “Pneumonia still possible, patient improving.”
  • Discharge Summary (IP): “Patient tolerated diet and activity. No acute issues documented.”


Correct Coding (IP):

  • Do NOT code pneumonia
    Code the signs/symptoms (e.g., cough, fever)
    Consider a query if clarification is warranted


OP Example:

  • Same scenario in an observation or outpatient visit
  • Correct Coding (OP): Never code pneumonia; only code presenting symptoms


Key Coding Takeaways for Uncertain Diagnoses


  • “At the time of discharge” = provider’s final assessment, typically the DS
  • Uncertain diagnoses not referenced at discharge cannot be coded
  • Conflicting documentation requires a query, not assumption
  • Proper application is a top inpatient audit focus




Tracy Blevins, MSHIM, RHIA, Senior Consultant, Audit at UASI

Tracy Blevins, MSHIM, RHIA 

Senior Consultant, Audit at UASI


Tracy Blevins is a Senior Consultant in Quality Auditing at UASI, with 14+ years of inpatient medical coding and health information management experience. As a Registered Health Information Administrator that also holds AHIMA’s Auditing Inpatient Coding Microcredential, she shares practical, detail-driven coding tips to help clinicians and coders strengthen documentation, accuracy, and compliance. 



Works Cited:

Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. ICD-10-CM Official Guidelines for Coding and Reporting, FY 2025–2026. Section II.H – Uncertain Diagnoses. Available here: https://www.cms.gov/files/document/fy-2025-icd-10-cm-coding-guidelines.pdf


American Hospital Association & Verhovshek, J. Coding uncertain diagnoses. AAPC Knowledge Center (AHA Coding Clinic for ICD-10-CM/PCS, First Quarter 2018: “Uncertain Diagnosis – Concern For”). Available here: https://www.aapc.com/blog/34764-coding-uncertain-diagnoses/

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